Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.439165 15.037887 16.768333 18.783323 21.068694 23.584231 26.568337
2025-06-01 11.096787 13.235847 15.718898 18.825172 22.622341 27.132181 32.922679
2025-06-08 9.378483 11.832283 14.862460 18.904806 24.194006 30.931040 40.244564
2025-06-15 8.281652 11.001139 14.556840 19.593946 26.622596 36.195289 50.413391
2025-06-22 7.135449 9.924395 13.762555 19.504178 28.002440 40.318113 59.886315
2025-06-29 6.120375 8.871452 12.836697 19.070560 28.812377 43.770408 69.097187
2025-07-06 5.356189 8.064467 12.138536 18.847398 29.881737 47.782169 80.004183
2025-07-13 4.917583 7.681093 12.014447 19.481790 32.400504 54.540126 96.933982
2025-07-20 4.542204 7.341665 11.905201 20.113414 35.013690 61.931567 116.666179
2025-07-27 4.158524 6.934705 11.624249 20.399613 37.059375 68.684410 136.768158
2025-08-03 3.745208 6.422630 11.092422 20.149730 38.062338 73.651625 154.446510
2025-08-10 3.380516 5.949474 10.565448 19.823910 38.853856 78.336684 172.653975
2025-08-17 3.060223 5.525853 10.089150 19.554364 39.779149 83.626165 193.979391
2025-08-24 2.795769 5.174599 9.704776 19.412740 40.958750 89.737753 219.048029
2025-08-31 2.573252 4.877112 9.386913 19.361611 42.335038 96.608306 248.096812
2025-09-07 2.441694 4.742520 9.376571 19.969351 45.332956 108.011611 292.862660
2025-09-14 2.251855 4.467704 9.042641 19.806180 46.475935 115.067938 327.587497
2025-09-21 2.055406 4.157113 8.595142 19.314876 46.723449 119.865073 357.143216
2025-09-28 1.899249 3.914571 8.265634 19.052745 47.509859 126.310746 394.112533
2025-10-05 1.823338 3.837411 8.293968 19.667953 50.743232 140.459752 461.928926
2025-10-12 1.752762 3.763995 8.321434 20.286174 54.116674 155.890906 540.307860
2025-10-19 1.665305 3.642603 8.221823 20.560352 56.573447 169.149119 615.988447
2025-10-26 1.553515 3.453091 7.936961 20.297790 57.402582 177.413800 675.437390